The Founder and Principal Researcher at Gazillion Labs is combining bounded stochastic price modeling, market microstructure, ...

It should come as little surprise that my NFL Projection Model once again sees the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills as the three best teams in the AFC. What might surprise you, ...

In this report, we present updated results for the macroeconomic projections model from the paper published in 2024 in the Journal of Policy Modeling by one of us and two colleagues, 1 incorporating ...

Scientists at the University of Chicago are working on AI trained to model weather which could help create better, more ...

The Philadelphia Eagles are the reigning Super Bowl champions, so it’s no surprise they’re my NFL Projection Model’s favorite to conquer the NFC again this year, with a 15.5 percent chance at going ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Giovanni Malloy, Ph.d, is a data scientist and sports analyst. As fantasy football drafts get under way from sea to shining sea, ...

Climate models are increasingly used to inform water availability projections at regional scales. However, the models’ own runoff sensitivities—the change in runoff per unit change of precipitation or ...

Coastal planning, mitigation and adaptation efforts rely on credible sea-level projections generated by physical models. However, the large uncertainties in these projections pose a challenge for ...

We have just published a new preprint — What demographic prediction can and cannot achieve — that argues that the choice of model drives nearly all the variance in long-run demographic projections, ...

The last time the Kansas City Chiefs did not win the AFC West, Patrick Mahomes was a sophomore two-sport athlete at Texas Tech, Travis Kelce was in his third season with the Chiefs and Taylor Swift ...

Last year, the Baltimore Ravens needed all 18 weeks of the regular season to win the AFC North. Trailing the Pittsburgh Steelers by two games entering Week 15, the Ravens won their last four ...