The extreme yield curve inversion over the past year indicates that time is running out for the current macro backdrop. Gold is generally correlated to a steepening yield curve, while stocks are ...

Analysts at former Merril Lynch bank question the predictive power of the U.S. yield curve inversion for recessions. Economic strength, Fed rate hikes, and market stability cast doubts on traditional ...

Following the jobs report on Friday that showed job creation had deteriorated from “decent” to “weak,” yields dropped across the board, except for the 30-year yield, which ticked up. Yields are now ...

Wall Street’s favorite recession signal started flashing red in 2022 and hasn’t stopped — and thus far has been wrong every step of the way. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has been lower than ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

An “inverted” yield curve is a scenario defined by higher yields on short-term Treasury debt versus lower yields on longer-term Treasury debt. The seeming oddity of inversion is short-term debt paying ...